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1

Judgmental forecasting: A review of progress over the last 25 years

Michael Lawrence, Paul Goodwin, Marcus O'Connor, Dilek Önkal

Journal:

International Journal of Forecasting

Year:

2006

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 304 KB

english, 2006

2

Scenarios as channels of forecast advice

Önkal, Dilek, Sayım, Kadire Zeynep, Gönül, Mustafa Sinan

Journal:

Technological Forecasting and Social Change

Year:

2013

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 634 KB

english, 2013

3

Evaluating expert advice in forecasting: Users’ reactions to presumed vs. experienced credibility

Önkal, Dilek, Sinan Gönül, M., Goodwin, Paul, Thomson, Mary, Öz, Esra

Journal:

International Journal of Forecasting

Year:

2016

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.06 MB

english, 2016

4

Expertise, credibility of system forecasts and integration methods in judgmental demand forecasting

Alvarado-Valencia, Jorge, Barrero, Lope H., Önkal, Dilek, Dennerlein, Jack T.

Journal:

International Journal of Forecasting

Year:

2016

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 865 KB

english, 2016

5

Use and misuse of information in supply chain forecasting of promotion effects

Fildes, Robert, Goodwin, Paul, Önkal, Dilek

Journal:

International Journal of Forecasting

Year:

2018

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 907 KB

english, 2018

6

Toward a Pedagogy for Critical Security Studies: Politics of Migration in the Classroom

Bilgic, Ali, Dhami, Mandeep, Onkal, Dilek

Journal:

International Studies Perspectives

Year:

2018

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 164 KB

english, 2018

7

Combining forecasts: Performance and coherence

Thomson, Mary E., Pollock, Andrew C., Önkal, Dilek, Gönül, M. Sinan

Journal:

International Journal of Forecasting

Year:

2019

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 375 KB

english, 2019

8

The relative influence of advice from human experts and statistical methods on forecast adjustments

Dilek Önkal, Paul Goodwin, Mary Thomson, Sinan Gönül, Andrew Pollock

Journal:

Journal of Behavioral Decision Making

Year:

2009

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 362 KB

english, 2009

9

Cognitive and Emotional Representations of Terror Attacks: A Cross-Cultural Exploration

Shoshana Shiloh, Gülbanu Güvenç, Dilek Önkal

Journal:

Year:

2007

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 98 KB

english, 2007

10

Judgmental Adjustments of Previously Adjusted Forecasts

Dilek Önkal, M. Sinan Gönül, Michael Lawrence

Journal:

Decision Sciences

Year:

2008

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.80 MB

english, 2008

11

The influence of trend strength on directional probabilistic currency predictions

Mary E. Thomson, Dilek Önkal-Atay, Andrew C. Pollock, Alex Macaulay

Journal:

International Journal of Forecasting

Year:

2003

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 366 KB

english, 2003

12

The effects of feedback on judgmental interval predictions

Fergus Bolger, Dilek Önkal-Atay

Journal:

International Journal of Forecasting

Year:

2004

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 169 KB

english, 2004

13

Currency forecasting: an investigation of extrapolative judgement

Mary E. Wilkie-Thomson, Dilek Önkal-Atay, Andrew C. Pollock

Journal:

International Journal of Forecasting

Year:

1997

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.22 MB

english, 1997

14

Professional vs. amateur judgment accuracy: The case of foreign exchange rates

Dilek Önkal, J.Frank Yates, Can Simga-Mugan, Şule Öztin

Journal:

Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes

Year:

2003

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 332 KB

english, 2003

15

Values and Risk Perceptions: A Cross-Cultural Examination

Gülbanu Kaptan, Shoshana Shiloh, Dilek Önkal

Journal:

Year:

2012

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 617 KB

english, 2012

16

Antecedents and effects of trust in forecasting advice

Goodwin, Paul, Sinan Gönül, M., Önkal, Dilek

Journal:

International Journal of Forecasting

Year:

2013

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1015 KB

english, 2013

17

What if you are not Bayesian? The consequences for decisions involving risk

Goodwin, Paul, Önkal, Dilek, Stekler, Herman O.

Journal:

European Journal of Operational Research

Year:

2017

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.10 MB

english, 2017

18

When providing optimistic and pessimistic scenarios can be detrimental to judgmental demand forecasts and production decisions

Goodwin, Paul, Gönül, M. Sinan, Önkal, Dilek

Journal:

European Journal of Operational Research

Year:

2018

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.14 MB

english, 2018

19

Supply Chain Management - Pathways for Research and Practice || Using Web Technologies for Supply Chain Management

Year:

2011

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 678 KB

english, 2011

20

Expectations, use and judgmental adjustment of external financial and economic forecasts: an empirical investigation

Sinan Gönül, Dilek Önkal, Paul Goodwin

Journal:

Journal of Forecasting

Year:

2009

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 312 KB

english, 2009

21

An exploratory analysis of portfolio managers' probabilistic forecasts of stock prices

Gülnur Muradoǧlu, Dilek Önkal

Journal:

Journal of Forecasting

Year:

1994

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1003 KB

english, 1994

22

Evaluating probabilistic forecasts of stock prices in a developing stock market

Dilek Önkal, Gülnur Muradoǧlu

Journal:

European Journal of Operational Research

Year:

1994

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 776 KB

english, 1994

23

Do forecasts expressed as prediction intervals improve production planning decisions?

Paul Goodwin, Dilek Önkal, Mary Thomson

Journal:

European Journal of Operational Research

Year:

2010

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 523 KB

english, 2010

24

The Influence of Nationality and Gender on Ethical Sensitivity: An Application of the Issue-Contingent Model

Can Simga-Mugan, Bonita A. Daly, Dilek Onkal, Lerzan Kavut

Journal:

Journal of Business Ethics

Year:

2005

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 265 KB

english, 2005

25

Evaluating predictive performance of judgemental extrapolations from simulated currency series

Andrew C. Pollock, Alex Macaulay, Dilek Önkal-Atay, Mary E. Wilkie-Thomson

Journal:

European Journal of Operational Research

Year:

1999

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 135 KB

english, 1999

26

Aviation Risk Perception: A Comparison Between Experts and Novices

Mary E. Thomson, Dilek Önkal, Ali Avcioğlu, Paul Goodwin

Journal:

Year:

2004

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 100 KB

english, 2004

27

Probability judgment accuracy for general knowledge. Cross-national differences and assessment methods

Kathleen M. Whitcomb, Dilek Önkal, Shawn P. Curley, P. George Benson

Journal:

Journal of Behavioral Decision Making

Year:

1995

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.14 MB

english, 1995

28

An evaluation of the reliability of probability judgments across response modes and over time

Kathleen M. Whitcomb, Dilek Önkal, P. George Benson, Shawn P. Curley

Journal:

Journal of Behavioral Decision Making

Year:

1993

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.02 MB

english, 1993

29

Effects of feedback on probabilistic forecasts of stock prices

Dilek Önkal, Gulnur Muradoğlu

Journal:

International Journal of Forecasting

Year:

1995

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.02 MB

english, 1995

30

Effects of task format on probabilistic forecasting of stock prices

Dilek Önkal, Gülnur Muradoglu

Journal:

International Journal of Forecasting

Year:

1996

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.29 MB

english, 1996

31

The effects of structural characteristics of explanations on use of a DSS

M. Sinan Gönül, Dilek Önkal, Michael Lawrence

Journal:

Decision Support Systems

Year:

2006

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 206 KB

english, 2006

32

How can you tell in advance whether you are going to get truly expert forecasts?

J. Frank Yates, Dilek Önkal

Journal:

International Journal of Forecasting

Year:

2004

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 48 KB

english, 2004

33

Performance evaluation of judgemental directional exchange rate predictions

Andrew C. Pollock, Alex Macaulay, Mary E. Thomson, Dilek Önkal

Journal:

International Journal of Forecasting

Year:

2005

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 194 KB

english, 2005

34

Comments on “Effective forecasting and judgmental adjustments: An empirical evaluation and strategies for improvement in supply-chain planning”

Journal:

International Journal of Forecasting

Year:

2009

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 361 KB

english, 2009

35

Influence of differentiated roles on group forecasting accuracy

Dilek Önkal, Michael Lawrence, K. Zeynep Sayım

Journal:

International Journal of Forecasting

Year:

2011

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 610 KB

english, 2011

36

Provider–user differences in perceived usefulness of forecasting formats

Dilek Önkal, Fergus Bolger

Journal:

Year:

2004

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 230 KB

english, 2004

37

Wisdom of group forecasts: Does role-playing play a role?

Dilek Önkal, K. Zeynep Sayım, Michael Lawrence

Journal:

Year:

2012

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 784 KB

english, 2012

38

Feedback-labelling synergies in judgmental stock price forecasting

Paul Goodwin, Dilek Önkal-Atay, Mary E. Thomson, Andrew C. Pollock, Alex Macaulay

Journal:

Decision Support Systems

Year:

2004

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 229 KB

english, 2004

39

Contextual effects on ethical sensitivity and penalty judgments

Can Şımga-Mugan, Dilek Önkal-Atay

Journal:

Teaching Business Ethics

Year:

2003

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 140 KB

english, 2003

40

The effects of feedback and training on the performance of probability forecasters

P.George Benson, Dilek Önkal

Journal:

International Journal of Forecasting

Year:

1992

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.50 MB

english, 1992

41

Effects of trend strength and direction on performance and consistency in judgmental exchange rate forecasting

Thomson, Mary E., Pollock, Andrew C., Gönül, M. Sinan, Önkal, Dilek

Journal:

International Journal of Forecasting

Year:

2013

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 464 KB

english, 2013

42

The Influence of Nationality and Gender on Ethical Sensitivity: An Application of the Issue-Contingent Model

Can Simga-Mugan, Bonita A. Daly, Dilek Onkal and Lerzan Kavut

Journal:

Journal of Business Ethics

Year:

2005

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 3.36 MB

english, 2005

43

Evaluating strategic directional probability predictions of exchange rates

Pollock, Andrew C., Macaulay, Alex, Thomson, Mary E., Gonul, M. Sinan, Onkal, Dilek

Journal:

International Journal of Applied Management Science

Year:

2010

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 342 KB

english, 2010

44

A Cognitive Portrayal of Risk Perception in Turkey: Some Cross-national Comparisons

Mary E Thomson,Dilek Önkal,Gülbanu Güvenç

Journal:

Risk Management

Year:

2003

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 169 KB

english, 2003

45

Supply Chain Management - Pathways for Research and Practice || Supply Chain Quality Management

Year:

2011

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 287 KB

english, 2011

46

Supply Chain Management - Pathways for Research and Practice || Information Sharing: a Quantitative Approach to a Class of Integrated Supply Chain

Year:

2011

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 580 KB

english, 2011

47

Supply Chain Management - Pathways for Research and Practice || Advanced Supply Chain Planning Systems (APS) Today and Tomorrow

Year:

2011

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 710 KB

english, 2011

48

Supply Chain Management - Pathways for Research and Practice || Supply Chain Flexibility: Managerial Implications

Year:

2011

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 223 KB

english, 2011

49

Judgmental Adjustments through Supply Integration for Strategic Partnerships in Food Chains

Eksoz, Can, Mansouri, S. Afshin, Bourlakis, Michael, Önkal, Dilek

Journal:

Year:

2018

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 930 KB

english, 2018

50

Supply Chain Management - Pathways for Research and Practice || Lean Supply Chain Practices and Performance in the Context of Malaysia

Year:

2011

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 344 KB

english, 2011